Modern Retail staff rounded up some of the most notable brand names we lost in 2025, like Joann and Rite Aid. These included brands we lost due to reorganizations, bankruptcies or quiet closures.

Tariffs

Brands Briefing: Bifurcation defined the year for brands in 2025

December 23, 2025

It was the year of bifurcation, with endless headlines talking about how the economy has now become K-shaped. Here's what it meant for brands.

Other news to know

  • Brands’ AI strategies
  • This year, Guitar Center launched a chatbot to help customers find the right products and an employee training tool that simulates customer interactions.
  • Kroger has launched a weekly AI-generated insights report for brand executives, analysts or category managers to analyze their performance.
  • In partnership with OpenAI, Target has launched a new Target app within ChatGPT, allowing shoppers to ask for ideas, build multi-item baskets, shop for fresh food and check out using their Target account.
  • John Furner’s tenure as the next CEO of Walmart will at least initially be defined by how the company evolves from testing and experimenting with AI to implementing it throughout the company.
Top Stories Dec 28

The K-shaped economy is forcing luxury brands to pick a side

December 26, 2025

Amid a K-shaped economy, fashion and luxury brands are rethinking pricing, experience and who they are really building for.

What brand and retail leaders wish they could change about the industry in 2026

December 24, 2025

Before everyone put up their out-of-office responders, Modern Retail polled a group of executives to talk about what's on their wish lists for 2026. We asked them one simple question: If you could wave a magic wand and change one thing about the retail industry in 2026, what would it be?

Wolverine Worldwide CEO talks growth in 2026, AI and getting ‘better at telling stories’

December 24, 2025

The CEO of Wolverine Worldwide, owner of brands like Saucony and Merrell, believes the company has been generally very good at developing products. But, he said, "I think we have to get better at telling stories."

Brands Briefing: Bifurcation defined the year for brands in 2025

December 23, 2025

It was the year of bifurcation, with endless headlines talking about how the economy has now become K-shaped. Here's what it meant for brands.

Bradley Keefer, CRO, Keen Decision Systems

The current economic outlook is uncertain, with consumer confidence declining, egg prices climbing and new tariffs in place. Meanwhile, supply chain disruptions caused by understaffing and trade war implications pose broader risks to the global economy.

With so much turmoil, long-term marketing budgets pose a challenge for retailers. To remain prepared, many use scenario planning to navigate uncertainty and ensure their marketing plans stay agile and adaptable.

Scenario planning helps retailers mitigate economic risks while uncovering opportunities to stay ahead, even as competitors adjust their own strategies. It considers current and future forecasts, providing a blueprint for swift adaptation and sustained competitive advantage.

Prioritizing the most relevant scenarios to build a game plan

Every brand feels the effects of economic shifts differently, making it crucial to focus on the most relevant challenges. A Canadian-based company may prioritize the impact of tariffs, while a U.S. grocer might focus on pricing strategies to address rising egg prices.

Brands should also consider broader factors like shifting consumer behavior and how competitors respond to economic pressures to get a complete picture of the scenarios. By anticipating these shifts, businesses can better navigate uncertainty and stay competitive.

Once marketers fully understand the key factors affecting their business, they can map out possible scenarios featuring challenges and opportunities.

Retailers should consider short- and long-term possibilities as they adapt to an ever-changing landscape. Modeling over time helps reveal the lasting impact of current decisions, whether increasing spending to counter headwinds or cutting budgets due to internal pressures. Being mindful of these long-term effects ensures smarter strategic choices.

Analyzing the implications and developing a roadmap with modeling tools

Once key scenarios are established, retailers should assess how each outcome could impact their strategy, identifying opportunities and challenges. For example, if inflation rises and consumer confidence declines, offering trade coupons can help differentiate a retailer from pricier competitors while providing customer savings.

Retailers can also evaluate how inflation might strain budgets, prompting a shift toward higher-performing channels like search or social media. Additionally, modeling tools allow them to test different profit margin assumptions, helping brands adjust budgets based on projected revenue.

The key to scenario planning is creating a clear roadmap that guides marketers on when to respond to a particular outcome. It should outline budget, channel allocation, campaign timing and expected ROI to ensure every investment delivers value.

Marketing mix modeling is a powerful tool for mapping the most effective path forward. For instance, if a global CPG company faces budget cuts due to a trade war, marketing mix modeling can help reassess spending and optimize allocation, minimizing impact without sacrificing marketing efforts.

These tools also assist in budget sizing. If a brand has specific revenue targets, modeling can determine how much additional investment is needed to overcome challenges and stay on track.

Staying ahead with continuous scenario planning

Being prepared doesn’t stop once the plan is set. Marketers must continuously monitor economic signals to know when to act and adjust strategies. Staying proactive means brands can get ahead of potential challenges and refine their approach over time.

For example, should supply chain issues resurface, a furniture company severely impacted by delays related to the COVID-19 pandemic would recognize early warning signs and respond accordingly. Ongoing testing is also essential, helping retailers fine-tune spending and channel allocation for the most effective results.

In this uncertain economy, planning just one week ahead can feel daunting. Scenario planning offers a proactive solution, and modeling tools provide real-time insights to help marketers make swift, informed decisions. As brands look ahead, scenario planning will be key to staying agile and competitive.

Sponsored by Keen Decision Systems